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Trading Previous Day's Close with Candlestick Confirmation

Learn how to use the previous day's close as a key level and wait for candlestick confirmation to enter trades with better timing.

Mark · Trader & Founder, Social Forex

Trading Previous Day's Close with Candlestick Confirmation

Trading the Previous Day's Close (PDC)

PDC (Previous Day's Close) is the closing price of the previous trading day. It is one of the most important levels on an intraday chart because many traders and algorithms watch it. When a new session opens, price often returns to test the PDC before continuing its trend. Therefore, the PDC can act as a natural support or resistance level.

How to Identify PDC and Candle Confirmation

To draw the PDC, open the daily time frame (D1), find the close of the most recent session, and draw a horizontal line at that level on a lower time frame such as H1 or M15. When price touches this line, do not enter immediately. Wait for a confirmation candle. A confirmation candle shows that buyers or sellers have regained control at that level.

For example, when price is falling and reaches the PDC, a Hammer or bullish Pin Bar suggests that buying pressure has arrived. A Hammer has a small body near the top and a lower shadow at least twice the body length. This shape shows that price was pushed down hard but then recovered close to the opening level.

Support ZoneSmall bodyWick ≥ 2× bodySmall body + long lower wick at support = bullish rejection

On the other hand, if price is rising into the PDC and you see a Shooting Star or bearish Pin Bar, price is likely to be rejected. A Shooting Star has a small body near the bottom and a long upper shadow, showing that sellers pushed price down after an upward move.

Resistance ZoneSmall bodyLong upper wickBuyers pushed high but sellers overwhelmed — bearish rejection

How to Trade

  • Identify the PDC on the daily chart.
  • Draw the PDC line on your intraday chart.
  • Wait for price to reach the PDC and produce a confirmation candle in your trading direction.
  • Enter after the confirmation candle closes.
  • Place your stop loss above or below the confirmation candle, or beyond the PDC zone.
  • Take profit at the nearest resistance for a buy order, nearest support for a sell order, or use a minimum risk:reward ratio of 1:2.
  • Real Example

    Suppose GBP/USD closed yesterday at 1.2700. This morning, price rose to 1.2730 and then pulled back to 1.2700. At this level, a Hammer candle appears. You place a buy order when the Hammer closes, with a stop loss below the low of the candle and a target at the recent high of 1.2730. This follows the core principle: respect an important level and wait for candle confirmation.

    Common Mistakes

  • Entering immediately when price touches the PDC without a confirmation candle.
  • Placing the stop loss too close to the PDC, so it gets hit before price moves in your direction.
  • Ignoring the larger trend: if the main trend is down, trying to catch a long at the PDC can be risky.
  • Failing to check the previous day's close on the daily chart and drawing the wrong level.
  • Content is for reference only, not investment advice. Forex trading carries high risk.

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